Democrats are gaining, Republicans are faltering as the months tick down toward November – By Kerry Eleveld (Daily Kos) / July 22, 2022
The fundamentals of the 2022 midterms increasingly reveal a cycle that is departing from the historic norms most pundits have relied on as touch points for their analysis.
In particular, the generic ballot trend lines appear to be decoupling from President Joe Biden’s job approvals by the day. FiveThirtyEight’s generic ballot aggregate, for instance, had tightened Thursday to a mere 1-point advantage for Republicans, 44.3%-43.2%, even as Biden’s approvals keep sinking, hitting 37.6%.
Check out the two screenshots back to back showing that congressional Democrats are faring better as Biden fares worse.
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