Don’t rule out a GOP Senate wave – By Stuart Rothenberg (Roll Call) / January 12, 2022
Senate races shape up very differently from House ones
ANALYSIS — As usual, Democrats are fighting among themselves — this time about what to do with the Senate filibuster.
Most would like to simply eliminate it, but that is not going to happen in a 50-50 Senate that includes Sens. Joe Manchin III of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, two Democrats who are uncomfortable with rule changes. So Democratic officeholders and strategists have talked about trying to “carve out” an exception to protect voting rights. But even that now seems a heavy lift.
The irony here is that while some Democrats worry that carving out an exception to the filibuster might set a bad precedent, the imbalance in the three Senate classes, which I wrote about in May, may give Republicans a chance at a filibuster-proof majority during the 2024 elections, when the Senate map strongly favors the GOP.
Of course, when I noted that, President Joe Biden’s job approval was sitting in the low-to-mid 50s, while his disapproval was about 10 points lower.
CONTINUE > https://www.rollcall.com/2022/01/12/dont-rule-out-a-gop-senate-wave/