The Democratic Race in Four Questions – By Howard Fineman (Real Clear Politics) / March 2 2020
Paul Tully was a burly, chain-smoking, hard-drinking Irishman from Long Island – and one of the best presidential campaign operatives I’ve ever met. He had been a football lineman at Yale, gotten a law degree at Penn and been a labor organizer in Philly. He was part dock worker, part professor.
We were having a drink at a bar on Milk Street in Boston one afternoon years ago when he explained campaigns to me in a way I never forgot – and it is my guide to the Democratic presidential race on the eve of Super Tuesday.
“There are no straight-line extrapolations in campaigns,” he said. “They are a curved, interactive universe. You can’t use a ruler. You start at one point here and end up over there at some other point you could not have expected.”
And that is why there are more questions than answers right now. Here are four:
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